Author(s): Michael Franczak Koko Warner

Innovative finance to ensure stability in the face of adverse climate change impacts

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An Egyptian farmer harvests his crops in Dahreya, Dakahleya, Egypt
M. Farouk/Shutterstock

When countries embark on major transformations, such as addressing climate change and its impacts, the design and deployment of financial modalities is as crucial as the total investment. Effective climate finance hinges not just on how much is needed but also on how to structure it for outcomes that deliver confidence and stability in the real economy.

Countries face political and economic constraints when deploying finance for climate change mitigation, adaptation, and resilience. To improve or maintain confidence and stability, climate finance strategies have to account for "real economy" drivers, such as interest rates, debt, trade, investment, and employment, while managing volatility such as conflict or changes in population distribution and avoiding stranded assets (investments or resources that have lost value or become obsolete due to shifts in technology, regulations, or market conditions). Revenue generation through renewable energy is one of several options for pension funds (investment pools that collect and grow money to provide retirement income for employees) to capture returns and shift smoothly away from potential stranded assets. As demographic shifts and technological advancements challenge traditional revenue streams, governments are also looking for new taxation strategies to position a country or region to capture strategic opportunities, meet public obligations, and reduce risks.

Innovative finance modalities play a critical role in addressing climate impacts, but these instruments are not equally accessible, impactful, or appropriate for all countries. Modalities may be classified by their primary purposes: mobilizing additional resources, leveraging current or future resources, reducing or managing risk, and increasing fiscal space. Policymakers must understand the distinctions between modalities and how they interact with real economy drivers to achieve the aims of Paris Agreement Article 2.1(c): to make "finance flows consistent with a pathway towards low greenhouse gas emissions and climate-resilient development."

Large-scale innovative climate finance is enabled when connected to global and regional coordination around real economy challenges. Initiatives such as a multilateral tax convention, Special Drawing Rights-backed lending for adaptation, and debt pause clauses in public and private lending can mobilize resources, finance resilience, and provide fiscal space. Public credit ratings agencies and currency hedging platforms supported by multilateral development banks can reduce risks for countries, investors, and lenders, while buffer stocks can stabilize prices and promote food security in climate-vulnerable regions.

Addressing climate change requires not just more finance but also well-structured financial systems that promote stability in a volatile world. Climate finance systems will need to connect public resources to jobs and production, while adapting to political, technological, and demographic shifts. With leveraged investments, strategic borrowing, public income through shifts in taxation, and regional and global cooperation, governments can build resilient financial frameworks to address the challenges of adverse climate impacts.

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