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The GEOGLAM Crop Monitor for Early Warning (CM4EW) is an international and transparent multi-source, consensus assessment of the crop growing conditions, status, and agro-climatic conditions that are likely to impact global production. The CM4EW reports on climate hazards, such as drought, flood, and extreme weather, as well as pests and crop diseases, as part of its monitoring of countries at risk of famine and to provide early warnings of impending crop shortfalls.

The January 2021 CM4EW Conflict Report examines the impact of conflict on agriculture and food security in Syria.

While agricultural production in Syria has substantially improved in recent years with improved security, the return of many IDPs to their places of origin, and better weather conditions from 2018 onward that promoted an increase in planted area and yields, substantial concern remains for regions where conflict is ongoing. Even in areas of improved security, years of conflict have impacted agricultural production potential and food access. Furthermore, the COVID-19 pandemic threatens to revert improved conditions as control measures and economic impacts are causing further difficulties in agricultural and livestock production, food processing, market supply and access, and increased food prices. Overall, localized insecurity and post-conflict economic issues aggravated by the COVID-19 pandemic remain significant drivers of production potential in Syria and are likely to impact the 2020/2021 agricultural season substantially.