The impact of typhoons on economic activity in the Philippines: Evidence from nightlight intensity
This report quantifies the economic impact of typhoons in the Philippines. To this end, the authors construct a panel data set of local economic activity derived from nightlight intensity satellite images and a cell level measure of typhoon damage constructed from storm track data, a wind field model, and a stylized damage function. The econometric results reveal that there is a statistically and potentially economically significant, albeit short-lived, impact of typhoon destruction on local economic activity. Constructing risk profiles from a 60-year historical set of storms suggests that (near) future losses in economic activity for frequent (5-year return period) and rare (50-year return period) events are likely to range from between 1.0% and 2.5%.
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