Reviewing the Oceanic Niño Index (ONI) to enhance societal readiness for El Niño’s impacts
This research reviews NOAA’s Oceanic Niño Index (ONI), which is used to record for historical purposes the occurrence and duration of El Niño episodes, based on the monitoring of sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the central Pacific’s Niño 3.4 region.
The study identified and forecasted an El Niño 0.7 °C which becomes important to National Meteorological and Hydrological Services (NMHS), governments, and communities in teleconnected places, even though it does not provide information about its peak intensity or duration. Forecasting the adverse societal and ecological consequences of El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) extremes, the authors conclude, requires a different set of research foci and tools.
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